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Monday plans

Screenshot from the Raleigh NC National Weather Service office showing that on Monday, 16 March 2026, the central third of North Carolina has a 15-29% probability of tornadoes up to EF2 rating, a 60-74% probability of widespread winds of 74 MPH or higher, and a 15-29% probability of damaging hail of 2" in diameter or more.
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Screenshot from the Raleigh NC National Weather Service office showing that on Monday, 16 March 2026, the central third of North Carolina has a 15-29% probability of tornadoes up to EF2 rating, a 60-74% probability of widespread winds of 74 MPH or higher, and a 15-29% probability of damaging hail of 2" in diameter or more.
Eastern US weather maps are lighting up.

We've got 2" hail on the menu which makes us even more special.

Morituri te salutamus, y'all.

Sunday evening update: Most of the local school districts are closing tomorrow. No remote learning, full closure.
10 hours ago

Art Delano pro

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cristin pro 8 hours ago
that there is a storm!

I hope your roof makes it through
williwaw pro 7 hours ago
Good luck, with each SPC update it keeps shifting south (tho getting more intense), maybe you'll get out of it. The jaggedness of the jet stream right now is W I L D. (If it's bad, you should know that Noem got rid of FEMA's tornado tracker tools soooooooooo . . .. . yeah. :( )

Everybody's rightly worried about tornados etc. but with the wind and just how drouthy it is in parts of the country this system's about to hit I also fear the fire departments will also have a busy night in certain areas actually fighting fire instead of other duties . . . and this fire season is already starting out badly enough as it is.
roonie pro 7 hours ago
Why does Damaging Hail get capital letters when tornadoes and damaging winds don't?

Sorry. Best wishes for all North Carolina. It's just the details that get to me sometimes.
MackReed pro 7 hours ago
HOT HAIL
ardgedee pro 6 hours ago
@roonie Hail is way more unusual than high winds or even tornadoes here. It tends to be more of a plains phenomenon.

@williwaw We're in a heavily wooded area so the ground-level winds are pretty well broken up, even the tall trees nearby don't bend much. Tornadoes are a real threat but tend to be sparse here, the terrain isn't as conducive to them as it is about 30 miles to the east. Although some nasty ones did touch down about 2 miles north of us a dozen years ago, so I'm definitely not going to feel smug about it.

NWS Raleigh posts their video briefings to Youtube, usually only a couple times a week but up to twice a day when the weather gets wild. I'll be keeping an eye on it all but the primary thing that really bothers me here is the risk of hail. Nothing's going to protect against it, not the terrain, not the trees.

We're in a severe drought (iirc >8 inches below normal for Jan - March) but fortunately it's going to rain most of the night and everything should be reasonably well soaked by the time the winds pick up so the risk of fire should be low. But you're right, there have already been a couple small wildfires in the past week, which hardly ever happens and never in late winter which is historically supposed to be the rainiest part of the year.

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